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BOS
5-6
CAR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BOS xG0.64
CAR xG0.92
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BOS Win%0.0
CAR Win%100.0
5 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BOS Deserve44.2%
CAR Deserve55.8%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
38.8%Possession61.2%
21Shots on Goal41
56.3%Faceoff Win %43.7%
18Hits30
12Blocked Shots12
2Takeaways4
23Giveaways17
8Penalty Minutes4























