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COL
3-1
STL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
COL xG1.15
STL xG0.68
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
COL Win%99.3
STL Win%0.7
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
COL Deserve53.6%
STL Deserve46.4%
COL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
59.7%Possession40.3%
37Shots on Goal19
54.5%Faceoff Win %45.5%
11Hits22
19Blocked Shots20
2Takeaways5
11Giveaways19
6Penalty Minutes2


















