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CGY
3-4
DAL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CGY xG0.74
DAL xG1.02
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CGY Win%0.0
DAL Win%100.0
10 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CGY Deserve45.1%
DAL Deserve54.9%
DAL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
46.0%Possession54.0%
20Shots on Goal25
38.0%Faceoff Win %62.0%
13Hits19
17Blocked Shots15
7Takeaways5
22Giveaways17
10Penalty Minutes6




















