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VGK
2-1
VAN
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
VGK xG1.19
VAN xG0.69
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
VGK Win%94.1
VAN Win%5.9
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
VGK Deserve48.8%
VAN Deserve51.2%
VAN Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
62.6%Possession37.4%
29Shots on Goal11
58.0%Faceoff Win %42.0%
22Hits27
17Blocked Shots20
1Takeaways7
11Giveaways9
4Penalty Minutes2


















