Back
BUF
5-3
NYR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BUF xG0.86
NYR xG0.89
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BUF Win%99.6
NYR Win%0.4
4 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BUF Deserve49.3%
NYR Deserve50.7%
NYR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
61.9%Possession38.1%
27Shots on Goal20
44.2%Faceoff Win %55.8%
19Hits26
11Blocked Shots24
6Takeaways4
17Giveaways12
6Penalty Minutes8
Live Feed
3P • 18:45Goal
Z. Benson
Assists: J. Doan, J. Norris
wrist
3P • 07:14Goal
J. Zucker
Assists: R. McLeod
wrist
3P • 05:51Goal
A. Tuch
Assists: P. Krebs, T. Thompson
deflected
2P • 14:44Goal
A. Fox
Assists: V. Trocheck, M. Zibanejad
wrist
2P • 02:57Goal
A. Lafrenière
Assists: D. Fortescue
snap
1P • 19:21Goal
A. Lafrenière
Assists: A. Fox, J. Miller
tip-in
1P • 08:58Goal
Z. Benson
Assists: R. Dahlin, B. Byram
deflected
1P • 04:40Goal
R. McLeod
Assists: J. Zucker, C. Timmins
snap
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Z. BensonL | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12:59 | |
 J. NorrisC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14:46 | |
J. ZuckerL | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 18:14 | |
 P. KrebsC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15:04 | |
 J. QuinnR | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:24 | |
 B. MalenstynL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10:15 | |
 T. KozakC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:50 | |
 T. PearsonL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 08:52 | |
R. McLeodC | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17:10 | |
 T. ThompsonC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22:18 | |
A. TuchR | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:05 | |
 J. DoanR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:08 | |
 B. ByramD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22:07 | |
 M. KesselringD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10:37 | |
 C. TimminsD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:26 | |
 M. SamuelssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:39 | |
 O. PowerD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:09 | |
 R. DahlinD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 24:30 |