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CBJ
0-5
BUF
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CBJ xG1.19
BUF xG0.60
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CBJ Win%0.4
BUF Win%99.6
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CBJ Deserve47.0%
BUF Deserve53.0%
BUF Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
54.0%Possession46.0%
37Shots on Goal24
57.9%Faceoff Win %42.1%
18Hits15
23Blocked Shots11
4Takeaways4
16Giveaways10
4Penalty Minutes8





















