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TBL
1-2
MTL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TBL xG0.43
MTL xG0.84
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TBL Win%2.2
MTL Win%97.8
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TBL Deserve43.8%
MTL Deserve56.2%
MTL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
45.3%Possession54.7%
18Shots on Goal21
47.6%Faceoff Win %52.4%
29Hits34
9Blocked Shots16
5Takeaways6
19Giveaways16
71Penalty Minutes55



















