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PIT
5-2
NJD
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
PIT xG1.01
NJD xG0.62
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
PIT Win%99.6
NJD Win%0.4
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
PIT Deserve59.1%
NJD Deserve40.9%
PIT Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
52.4%Possession47.6%
30Shots on Goal21
55.3%Faceoff Win %44.7%
7Hits12
18Blocked Shots10
4Takeaways5
15Giveaways19
2Penalty Minutes2



















