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MIN
4-5
DAL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MIN xG0.88
DAL xG0.53
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MIN Win%0.7
DAL Win%99.3
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MIN Deserve54.8%
DAL Deserve45.2%
MIN Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
54.5%Possession45.5%
31Shots on Goal20
50.9%Faceoff Win %49.1%
25Hits18
16Blocked Shots11
5Takeaways4
9Giveaways12
12Penalty Minutes20






















