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CAR
7-2
CHI
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CAR xG0.82
CHI xG0.60
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CAR Win%99.6
CHI Win%0.4
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CAR Deserve57.6%
CHI Deserve42.4%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.0%Possession50.0%
22Shots on Goal25
49.2%Faceoff Win %50.8%
14Hits14
17Blocked Shots12
5Takeaways3
15Giveaways19
10Penalty Minutes4


















