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CGY
1-3
COL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CGY xG0.61
COL xG1.32
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CGY Win%0.4
COL Win%99.6
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CGY Deserve42.2%
COL Deserve57.8%
COL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
48.6%Possession51.4%
29Shots on Goal41
50.9%Faceoff Win %49.1%
19Hits11
13Blocked Shots20
4Takeaways3
14Giveaways12
6Penalty Minutes4




















