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NYR
0-2
DAL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
NYR xG0.80
DAL xG0.77
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
NYR Win%0.4
DAL Win%99.6
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
NYR Deserve52.8%
DAL Deserve47.2%
NYR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
49.0%Possession51.0%
22Shots on Goal19
54.3%Faceoff Win %45.7%
22Hits14
19Blocked Shots11
6Takeaways3
13Giveaways14
15Penalty Minutes17


















