Back

CAR
4-1
UTA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CAR xG0.95
UTA xG1.24
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CAR Win%99.6
UTA Win%0.4
4 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CAR Deserve54.3%
UTA Deserve45.7%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.4%Possession49.6%
29Shots on Goal27
58.6%Faceoff Win %41.4%
17Hits24
18Blocked Shots20
4Takeaways5
10Giveaways18
15Penalty Minutes11


















