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FLA
6-2
TOR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
FLA xG0.76
TOR xG0.70
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
FLA Win%99.6
TOR Win%0.4
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
FLA Deserve54.5%
TOR Deserve45.5%
FLA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
54.5%Possession45.5%
25Shots on Goal19
35.7%Faceoff Win %64.3%
23Hits26
14Blocked Shots17
3Takeaways4
11Giveaways12
2Penalty Minutes2


















