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CBJ
5-2
MTL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CBJ xG1.29
MTL xG0.77
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CBJ Win%99.6
MTL Win%0.4
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CBJ Deserve56.4%
MTL Deserve43.6%
CBJ Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
52.1%Possession47.9%
33Shots on Goal22
55.6%Faceoff Win %44.4%
15Hits22
20Blocked Shots12
5Takeaways1
18Giveaways14
12Penalty Minutes12



















