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CGY
1-4
SEA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CGY xG0.56
SEA xG1.06
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CGY Win%0.4
SEA Win%99.6
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CGY Deserve43.3%
SEA Deserve56.7%
SEA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
54.6%Possession45.4%
27Shots on Goal21
53.7%Faceoff Win %46.3%
13Hits12
12Blocked Shots18
5Takeaways7
6Giveaways16
6Penalty Minutes2





















