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VGK
3-2
COL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
VGK xG1.31
COL xG0.82
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
VGK Win%100.0
COL Win%0.0
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
VGK Deserve57.9%
COL Deserve42.1%
VGK Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
47.1%Possession52.9%
29Shots on Goal32
53.8%Faceoff Win %46.2%
18Hits13
20Blocked Shots12
7Takeaways5
12Giveaways17
6Penalty Minutes8



















