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PIT
0-3
WSH
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
PIT xG1.22
WSH xG0.93
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
PIT Win%0.4
WSH Win%99.6
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
PIT Deserve48.5%
WSH Deserve51.5%
WSH Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.8%Possession49.2%
24Shots on Goal27
48.1%Faceoff Win %51.9%
10Hits18
17Blocked Shots13
8Takeaways5
15Giveaways19
2Penalty Minutes4



















