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MTL
4-1
NYI
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MTL xG0.83
NYI xG1.03
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MTL Win%99.6
NYI Win%0.4
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MTL Deserve53.8%
NYI Deserve46.2%
MTL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
43.9%Possession56.1%
22Shots on Goal33
46.8%Faceoff Win %53.2%
23Hits16
12Blocked Shots14
5Takeaways4
12Giveaways9
6Penalty Minutes6


















