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BOS
3-2
CBJ
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BOS xG0.69
CBJ xG1.19
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BOS Win%80.4
CBJ Win%19.6
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BOS Deserve43.9%
CBJ Deserve56.1%
CBJ Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
46.0%Possession54.0%
22Shots on Goal35
45.6%Faceoff Win %54.4%
12Hits20
6Blocked Shots13
4Takeaways3
14Giveaways13
6Penalty Minutes0



















