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VAN
4-3
ANA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
VAN xG1.01
ANA xG0.87
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
VAN Win%100.0
ANA Win%0.0
6 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
VAN Deserve52.0%
ANA Deserve48.0%
VAN Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
49.0%Possession51.0%
26Shots on Goal27
47.5%Faceoff Win %52.5%
16Hits26
9Blocked Shots13
4Takeaways6
15Giveaways22
14Penalty Minutes16



















