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UTA
1-4
CGY
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
UTA xG0.89
CGY xG1.50
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
UTA Win%0.4
CGY Win%99.6
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
UTA Deserve45.0%
CGY Deserve55.0%
CGY Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
54.1%Possession45.9%
29Shots on Goal23
45.3%Faceoff Win %54.7%
20Hits7
17Blocked Shots13
8Takeaways5
22Giveaways18
8Penalty Minutes6





















