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DET
3-4
TBL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
DET xG0.87
TBL xG0.59
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
DET Win%0.0
TBL Win%100.0
6 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
DET Deserve56.2%
TBL Deserve43.8%
DET Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
53.3%Possession46.7%
30Shots on Goal22
58.9%Faceoff Win %41.1%
12Hits12
15Blocked Shots12
5Takeaways2
10Giveaways16
2Penalty Minutes6





















