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NYR
2-3
FLA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
NYR xG1.16
FLA xG0.71
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
NYR Win%3.3
FLA Win%96.7
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
NYR Deserve51.9%
FLA Deserve48.1%
NYR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
56.6%Possession43.4%
27Shots on Goal16
64.3%Faceoff Win %35.7%
28Hits31
13Blocked Shots16
3Takeaways1
13Giveaways10
4Penalty Minutes8



















