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DAL
6-5
TOR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
DAL xG0.94
TOR xG0.78
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
DAL Win%90.5
TOR Win%9.5
7 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
DAL Deserve52.4%
TOR Deserve47.6%
DAL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
53.7%Possession46.3%
33Shots on Goal27
60.4%Faceoff Win %39.6%
11Hits27
10Blocked Shots11
7Takeaways3
18Giveaways13
4Penalty Minutes6






















