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MIN
3-6
STL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MIN xG0.90
STL xG0.82
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MIN Win%0.4
STL Win%99.6
5 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MIN Deserve46.7%
STL Deserve53.3%
STL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
55.6%Possession44.4%
31Shots on Goal22
41.2%Faceoff Win %58.8%
23Hits15
8Blocked Shots10
2Takeaways5
15Giveaways18
13Penalty Minutes15























