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BUF
5-1
CHI
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BUF xG0.93
CHI xG0.63
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BUF Win%99.6
CHI Win%0.4
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BUF Deserve60.9%
CHI Deserve39.1%
BUF Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
58.0%Possession42.0%
26Shots on Goal16
55.4%Faceoff Win %44.6%
20Hits8
8Blocked Shots10
8Takeaways2
12Giveaways23
10Penalty Minutes4


















