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CAR
2-1
NYI
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CAR xG0.81
NYI xG0.98
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CAR Win%89.7
NYI Win%10.3
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CAR Deserve49.8%
NYI Deserve50.2%
NYI Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
53.9%Possession46.1%
21Shots on Goal30
50.0%Faceoff Win %50.0%
11Hits10
7Blocked Shots19
3Takeaways3
16Giveaways22
4Penalty Minutes2


















