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MTL
2-4
PHI
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MTL xG0.72
PHI xG0.50
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MTL Win%0.4
PHI Win%99.6
5 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MTL Deserve56.4%
PHI Deserve43.6%
MTL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
51.6%Possession48.4%
29Shots on Goal25
56.9%Faceoff Win %43.1%
26Hits21
17Blocked Shots7
3Takeaways4
12Giveaways21
4Penalty Minutes10





















