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COL
3-1
CGY
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
COL xG1.25
CGY xG0.94
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
COL Win%99.6
CGY Win%0.4
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
COL Deserve55.7%
CGY Deserve44.3%
COL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
53.9%Possession46.1%
38Shots on Goal31
52.3%Faceoff Win %47.7%
9Hits13
11Blocked Shots9
5Takeaways6
18Giveaways17
4Penalty Minutes8


















