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PIT
5-7
STL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
PIT xG0.70
STL xG0.83
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
PIT Win%0.4
STL Win%99.6
5 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
PIT Deserve46.2%
STL Deserve53.8%
STL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
43.3%Possession56.7%
23Shots on Goal31
54.4%Faceoff Win %45.6%
15Hits20
15Blocked Shots10
7Takeaways4
21Giveaways15
6Penalty Minutes4






















