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DAL
4-3
BUF
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
DAL xG0.75
BUF xG0.98
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
DAL Win%100.0
BUF Win%0.0
10 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
DAL Deserve51.7%
BUF Deserve48.3%
DAL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
48.3%Possession51.7%
31Shots on Goal27
46.2%Faceoff Win %53.8%
21Hits23
14Blocked Shots16
8Takeaways4
12Giveaways13
6Penalty Minutes6





















