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DET
1-8
FLA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
DET xG0.77
FLA xG0.68
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
DET Win%0.4
FLA Win%99.6
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
DET Deserve41.2%
FLA Deserve58.8%
FLA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
45.5%Possession54.5%
26Shots on Goal28
59.0%Faceoff Win %41.0%
17Hits10
18Blocked Shots9
4Takeaways4
20Giveaways12
2Penalty Minutes6























