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STL
5-3
UTA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
STL xG0.65
UTA xG0.81
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
STL Win%99.6
UTA Win%0.4
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
STL Deserve54.9%
UTA Deserve45.1%
STL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.9%Possession49.1%
29Shots on Goal23
49.3%Faceoff Win %50.7%
17Hits17
12Blocked Shots16
5Takeaways2
12Giveaways15
2Penalty Minutes4




















