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BOS
3-4
BUF
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BOS xG0.69
BUF xG1.04
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BOS Win%1.3
BUF Win%98.7
5 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BOS Deserve46.0%
BUF Deserve54.0%
BUF Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
40.0%Possession60.0%
20Shots on Goal38
50.8%Faceoff Win %49.2%
38Hits53
13Blocked Shots14
5Takeaways5
13Giveaways13
12Penalty Minutes10
Live Feed
3P • 19:52Goal
D. Pastrnak
Assists: P. Zacha, M. Geekie
backhand
3P • 18:48Goal
A. Tuch
Assists: T. Thompson, O. Power
wrist
3P • 16:36Goal
M. Samuelsson
Assists: J. Quinn
wrist
3P • 15:44Goal
T. Thompson
Assists: A. Tuch
wrist
3P • 12:02Goal
T. Thompson
Assists: P. Krebs
wrap-around
3P • 01:08Goal
E. Lindholm
Assists: M. Geekie, D. Pastrnak
snap
1P • 10:52Goal
M. Geekie
Assists: D. Pastrnak, N. Zadorov
snap
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 C. MittelstadtC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:19 | |
 P. ZachaC | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17:02 | |
E. LindholmC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 19:18 | |
M. GeekieC | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19:16 | |
 J. HagensC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11:02 | |
 M. KastelicC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:51 | |
 S. KuralyC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13:16 | |
 V. ArvidssonL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12:45 | |
 T. JeannotL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 08:21 | |
D. PastrnakR | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 21:15 | |
 M. KhusnutdinovC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14:13 | |
 F. MintenC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16:07 | |
 M. LohreiD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:08 | |
 A. PeekeD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19:03 | |
 H. LindholmD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21:06 | |
 J. AspirotD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16:09 | |
 C. McAvoyD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 24:18 | |
 N. ZadorovD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 20:42 |