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BOS
4-2
BUF
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BOS xG0.96
BUF xG1.24
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BOS Win%99.6
BUF Win%0.4
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BOS Deserve49.5%
BUF Deserve50.5%
BUF Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
51.1%Possession48.9%
27Shots on Goal35
54.5%Faceoff Win %45.5%
32Hits30
14Blocked Shots28
5Takeaways2
21Giveaways15
47Penalty Minutes47
Live Feed
3P • 15:08Goal
P. Krebs
Assists: R. Dahlin, A. Tuch
backhand
3P • 13:54Goal
B. Byram
Assists: B. Malenstyn, O. Power
wrist
3P • 00:16Goal
V. Arvidsson
Assists: C. Mittelstadt, J. Aspirot
snap
2P • 18:10Goal
P. Zacha
Assists: D. Pastrnak, C. McAvoy
tip-in
2P • 16:29Goal
M. Geekie
Assists: D. Pastrnak, S. Kuraly
backhand
2P • 04:54Goal
V. Arvidsson
Assists: J. Aspirot, C. Mittelstadt
backhand
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 C. MittelstadtC | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13:23 | |
P. ZachaC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14:24 | |
 E. LindholmC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20:18 | |
M. GeekieC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16:17 | |
 J. HagensC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:35 | |
 M. KastelicC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 10:22 | |
 S. KuralyC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:48 | |
V. ArvidssonL | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 13:52 | |
 T. JeannotL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:23 | |
 D. PastrnakR | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20:04 | |
 M. KhusnutdinovC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:50 | |
 F. MintenC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16:04 | |
 M. LohreiD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:17 | |
 A. PeekeD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 15:41 | |
 H. LindholmD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27:40 | |
 J. AspirotD | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14:22 | |
 C. McAvoyD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 27:22 | |
 N. ZadorovD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 15:53 |