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BUF
3-1
BOS
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BUF xG0.98
BOS xG0.68
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BUF Win%100.0
BOS Win%0.0
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BUF Deserve57.9%
BOS Deserve42.1%
BUF Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
51.0%Possession49.0%
30Shots on Goal25
51.0%Faceoff Win %49.0%
38Hits35
15Blocked Shots9
6Takeaways5
9Giveaways18
10Penalty Minutes12


















