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BUF
6-1
BOS
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BUF xG1.31
BOS xG0.82
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BUF Win%99.6
BOS Win%0.4
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BUF Deserve55.4%
BOS Deserve44.6%
BUF Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
58.3%Possession41.7%
35Shots on Goal24
33.3%Faceoff Win %66.7%
23Hits42
13Blocked Shots20
4Takeaways3
14Giveaways17
18Penalty Minutes25


















