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BOS
2-1
BUF
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BOS xG1.09
BUF xG1.18
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BOS Win%100.0
BUF Win%0.0
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BOS Deserve54.1%
BUF Deserve45.9%
BOS Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
49.0%Possession51.0%
29Shots on Goal26
59.6%Faceoff Win %40.4%
43Hits27
21Blocked Shots25
7Takeaways2
21Giveaways22
6Penalty Minutes6


















