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BUF
4-1
BOS
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BUF xG0.95
BOS xG0.74
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BUF Win%99.6
BOS Win%0.4
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BUF Deserve53.6%
BOS Deserve46.4%
BUF Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
55.5%Possession44.5%
26Shots on Goal26
44.1%Faceoff Win %55.9%
27Hits43
10Blocked Shots20
3Takeaways3
19Giveaways15
2Penalty Minutes21


















