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MTL
4-3
TBL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MTL xG0.73
TBL xG0.75
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MTL Win%100.0
TBL Win%0.0
4 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MTL Deserve50.6%
TBL Deserve49.4%
MTL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
47.9%Possession52.1%
19Shots on Goal23
61.0%Faceoff Win %39.0%
42Hits44
13Blocked Shots17
6Takeaways7
16Giveaways9
14Penalty Minutes14



















