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MTL
2-3
TBL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MTL xG0.84
TBL xG0.93
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MTL Win%0.0
TBL Win%100.0
6 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MTL Deserve47.2%
TBL Deserve52.8%
TBL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.0%Possession50.0%
27Shots on Goal34
47.9%Faceoff Win %52.1%
43Hits34
15Blocked Shots27
7Takeaways5
21Giveaways15
25Penalty Minutes27




















