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TBL
2-3
MTL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TBL xG0.65
MTL xG0.70
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TBL Win%0.0
MTL Win%100.0
5 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TBL Deserve53.9%
MTL Deserve46.1%
TBL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
43.1%Possession56.9%
17Shots on Goal29
54.2%Faceoff Win %45.8%
31Hits36
20Blocked Shots14
8Takeaways3
9Giveaways17
14Penalty Minutes16




















