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TBL
3-2
MTL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TBL xG1.22
MTL xG0.78
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TBL Win%98.3
MTL Win%1.7
5 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TBL Deserve45.9%
MTL Deserve54.1%
MTL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
56.3%Possession43.7%
20Shots on Goal18
35.1%Faceoff Win %64.9%
28Hits50
13Blocked Shots16
5Takeaways7
15Giveaways4
16Penalty Minutes18



















