Back

MTL
3-2
TBL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MTL xG0.82
TBL xG0.72
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MTL Win%70.9
TBL Win%29.1
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MTL Deserve56.1%
TBL Deserve43.9%
MTL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
43.0%Possession57.0%
24Shots on Goal40
66.0%Faceoff Win %34.0%
37Hits23
18Blocked Shots16
6Takeaways4
11Giveaways18
8Penalty Minutes6



















