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TBL
1-0
MTL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TBL xG1.73
MTL xG0.98
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TBL Win%100.0
MTL Win%0.0
7 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TBL Deserve55.9%
MTL Deserve44.1%
TBL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.6%Possession49.4%
33Shots on Goal30
48.9%Faceoff Win %51.1%
38Hits49
26Blocked Shots15
6Takeaways3
17Giveaways20
8Penalty Minutes8

















