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MTL
2-1
TBL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MTL xG0.57
TBL xG0.92
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MTL Win%97.4
TBL Win%2.6
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MTL Deserve52.0%
TBL Deserve48.0%
MTL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
39.6%Possession60.4%
9Shots on Goal29
53.3%Faceoff Win %46.7%
43Hits30
17Blocked Shots15
4Takeaways4
12Giveaways12
6Penalty Minutes4


















