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OTT
0-2
CAR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
OTT xG0.89
CAR xG1.06
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
OTT Win%0.0
CAR Win%100.0
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
OTT Deserve43.1%
CAR Deserve56.9%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
43.4%Possession56.6%
22Shots on Goal29
56.4%Faceoff Win %43.6%
39Hits57
12Blocked Shots13
4Takeaways5
16Giveaways15
21Penalty Minutes15



















