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OTT
2-3
CAR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
OTT xG1.51
CAR xG1.54
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
OTT Win%0.0
CAR Win%100.0
6 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
OTT Deserve52.8%
CAR Deserve47.2%
OTT Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
46.6%Possession53.4%
39Shots on Goal49
63.7%Faceoff Win %36.3%
52Hits43
28Blocked Shots26
11Takeaways7
29Giveaways31
4Penalty Minutes8




















