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CAR
2-1
OTT
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CAR xG0.82
OTT xG0.56
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CAR Win%81.7
OTT Win%18.3
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CAR Deserve48.8%
OTT Deserve51.2%
OTT Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
55.8%Possession44.2%
27Shots on Goal22
54.1%Faceoff Win %45.9%
30Hits45
18Blocked Shots17
3Takeaways4
21Giveaways15
10Penalty Minutes8


















